Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 10.120019 11.596161 13.229261 15.172819 17.426554 19.962086 23.037049
2025-08-03 7.919371 9.770651 11.986450 14.844165 18.446976 22.857743 28.696656
2025-08-10 6.646036 8.644779 11.176245 14.637257 19.276498 25.322797 33.869389
2025-08-17 5.753909 7.810684 10.537773 14.448237 19.961052 27.528312 38.828003
2025-08-24 5.059786 7.123111 9.968273 14.219013 20.479258 29.470134 43.558803
2025-08-31 4.489745 6.526252 9.433217 13.937332 20.834361 31.149843 48.033353
2025-09-07 4.248844 6.367191 9.492398 14.506778 22.479166 34.881113 56.059941
2025-09-14 3.944323 6.074633 9.312106 14.673153 23.492438 37.712772 62.961684
2025-09-21 3.636433 5.742012 9.029960 14.634869 24.150310 40.012056 69.217563
2025-09-28 3.341334 5.398907 8.693518 14.463033 24.549536 41.894643 74.941513
2025-10-05 3.209772 5.307744 8.753009 14.952860 26.119348 45.940479 85.050211
2025-10-12 3.069678 5.187597 8.749307 15.325665 27.509514 49.799555 95.278806
2025-10-19 2.970509 5.131741 8.855068 15.912341 29.370237 54.766422 108.405312
2025-10-26 2.732114 4.810372 8.466200 15.554782 29.416395 56.292573 114.805523
2025-11-02 2.539005 4.553322 8.169077 15.336707 29.701046 58.300875 122.452943
2025-11-09 2.367646 4.321418 7.897187 15.137947 29.996523 60.350381 130.442111
2025-11-16 2.207053 4.096292 7.618417 14.896951 30.175734 62.168495 138.143668
2025-11-23 2.054448 3.874110 7.326615 14.600824 30.205311 63.663288 145.290548
2025-11-30 2.018184 3.874122 7.465584 15.199496 32.201695 69.648666 163.856798
2025-12-07 1.936940 3.778468 7.406196 15.374426 33.286845 73.717956 178.338857
2025-12-14 1.839398 3.642354 7.253690 15.334173 33.882910 76.727386 190.581786
2025-12-21 1.735538 3.485487 7.046040 15.153503 34.136616 78.956051 201.118439
2025-12-28 1.703931 3.476315 7.146306 15.668534 36.072384 85.451882 223.965059